Early-Stage Crashes Are a Gift
During the accumulation phase when you are regularly adding new savings, market downturns allow your monthly contributions to purchase more ETF units at deep discounts.
Review Risk Module →Dual-engine risk workbench: Stress-test your specific portfolio against the 4 most severe historical financial crashes (2008 GFC, 2000 Dot-Com, 2020 COVID, 2022 Rate Shock), or simulate 1,000 stochastic Monte Carlo probability paths.
Peak value: $100,000
-42.1% max drawdown
Saved vs. 100% all-equity
Accelerated with $500/mo PAC
Compare how standard Couch Potato / Boglehead asset allocations performed in this exact historical crisis.
| Strategy | Stock / Bond | Value at Trough | Max Drawdown | Trough Time | Recovery (PAC) |
|---|
Understanding Sequence of Returns
Two investors can have the exact same 7.0% average compound return over 25 years, but end up with vastly different wealth depending on when market crashes occurred.
During the accumulation phase when you are regularly adding new savings, market downturns allow your monthly contributions to purchase more ETF units at deep discounts.
Review Risk Module →During decumulation, a severe crash in your first 3 years of retirement forces you to sell assets at a loss to fund living expenses, permanently impairing portfolio longevity.
Test Withdrawal Planner →Holding 1 to 2 years of living expenses in cash or cash-like ETFs (CASH.TO, SGOV) insulates you from having to sell equities during sharp cyclical downturns.
Review Psychology →